Read e-book online Adapting to an Uncertain Climate: Lessons From Practice PDF

By Tiago Capela Lourenço, Ana Rovisco, Annemarie Groot, Carin Nilsson, Hans-Martin Füssel, Leendert Van Bree, Roger B. Street

ISBN-10: 3319048759

ISBN-13: 9783319048758

ISBN-10: 3319048767

ISBN-13: 9783319048765

Climate switch highlights the demanding situations for long term coverage making within the face of power and irreducible degrees of uncertainties. It demands the advance of versatile ways, cutting edge governance and different parts that give a contribution to potent and adaptive decision-making. Exploring those new methods is usually a problem for these excited about weather learn and improvement of variation policy.

The e-book offers a dozen real-life examples of edition selection making within the kind of case studies:

· Water offer administration in Portugal, England and Wales and Hungary

· Flooding, together with flood chance in eire, coastal flooding and erosion in Southwest France, and flood administration in Australia’s Hutt River region

· shipping and utilities, together with the Austrian Federal railway process, public transit in Dresden, and Québec hydro-electric power

· file analyzing verbal exchange of huge numbers of weather eventualities in Dutch weather edition workshops.

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Sample text

E. location, nature and level of uncertainty, can also be expanded to five principal uncertainty dimensions: • Location – the part of the problem in which the uncertainty occurs, • Level – classification on scale from “complete ignorance” to “knowing for certain”, • Nature – whether uncertainty is knowledge-based or a direct consequence of inherent variability, • Qualification of knowledge base – evidence and reliability and of information used, and • Value-ladenness of choices – the extent to which choices made in the assessment are subjective.

These short-term disruptions could have a significant effect on economies where the economic activity is sensitive to the weather and climate. Policies need to be designed to take sensitivities into account and this is often already the case where they are seamlessly incorporated into a business continuity mind-set of existing governance systems and bureaucracies. Climate change is on a decadal scale. Very few policies are able to operate on that timescale partly because of the lack of clarity in the objectives and partly because there is a reluctance to commit resources for which there is no political or 22 L.

IPCC Cross-Working Group meeting on consistent treatment of uncertainties, Jasper Ridge, 6–7 July 2010. Lempert, Robert and Nidhi Kalra. 2011. Managing climate risks in developing countries with robust decision making. World Resources Report, Washington DC. org. Lemos, Maria Carmen, and Richard B. Rood. 2010. Climate projections and their impact on policy and practice. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 1(5): 670–682. 71. Manning, Martin. 2003. The difficulty of communicating uncertainty: An editorial comment.

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Adapting to an Uncertain Climate: Lessons From Practice by Tiago Capela Lourenço, Ana Rovisco, Annemarie Groot, Carin Nilsson, Hans-Martin Füssel, Leendert Van Bree, Roger B. Street

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