Colin Sanderson, Reinhold Gruen's Analytical models for decision making PDF

By Colin Sanderson, Reinhold Gruen

ISBN-10: 0335218458

ISBN-13: 9780335218455

ISBN-10: 0335227732

ISBN-13: 9780335227730

Overall healthiness care platforms are complicated and, consequently, it's always uncertain what the consequences of alterations in coverage or carrier provision should be. while, assets for well-being care are typically in brief offer, this means that public future health practitioners need to make tricky judgements. This ebook describes the quantitative and qualitative tools that may support decision-makers to constitution and make clear difficult Read more...

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well-being care platforms are advanced and, therefore, it is usually doubtful what the results of alterations in coverage or carrier provision will be. This booklet describes the quantitative and qualitative methods Read more...

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Building a decision support model Models and decision making in health care In mild cases the untreated case fatality may be very low. Suppose it is 5 per cent. If treatment reduces the case fatality to zero, the treatment impact factor in this group would be 5 − 0 = 5 per cent. For more severe cases, the untreated case fatality rate might be around 50 per cent. If the case fatality among treated cases were 30 per cent, the treatment impact factor would be 50 − 30 per cent = 20 per cent. You can assume that the more severe the disease, the greater the treatment impact factor.

You should recognize some of the common features of models and have some preliminary ideas about what makes a good model. This chapter has been a rather abstract introduction to some of the thinking behind decision-support models. In the next chapter you will go through the process of building a model of your own. References Ackoff RL (1979) The future of operational research is past. Journal of the Operational Research Society 30: 93–104. Ackoff RL and Sasieni MW (1968) Fundamentals of Operations Research.

If treatment reduces the case fatality to zero, the treatment impact factor in this group would be 5 − 0 = 5 per cent. For more severe cases, the untreated case fatality rate might be around 50 per cent. If the case fatality among treated cases were 30 per cent, the treatment impact factor would be 50 − 30 per cent = 20 per cent. You can assume that the more severe the disease, the greater the treatment impact factor. This is only an approximation to reality, as the practice of ‘triage’ implies.

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Analytical models for decision making by Colin Sanderson, Reinhold Gruen


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